India in do-or-die territory, must beat Australia and Bangladesh:Decoding every team’s chances of reaching the semifinals

The equation for Group A in the Women’s T20 World Cup has completely changed. On Tuesday, in a match played in Manchester, South Africa defeated India by 6 wickets, handing them their first loss in the tournament. India, batting first, scored 158/7 runs. South Africa achieved the target in the last over. After this defeat, India’s chances of reaching the semi-finals have become difficult. The team will now have to win both of its remaining matches against Bangladesh and Australia. On the other hand, Pakistan, Netherlands, Ireland, and Scotland have been eliminated from the tournament. What is the points table equation so far? In Group A, the battle for the semi-finals is ongoing among Australia, India, South Africa, and Bangladesh. Australia has the best run rate (+4.724). India’s run rate is better than South Africa’s. In Group B, hosts England and West Indies are in a strong position. How can India reach the semi-finals? After the loss to South Africa, both of India’s matches have become like knockouts. The team will play its next match against Bangladesh on June 25. After this, it will face Australia on June 28. It will be much more difficult for India to defeat Australia than Bangladesh. Statistics also confirm this. India has won 20 out of 23 T20s against Bangladesh. Also, in the T20 World Cup, India has won all three matches played against Bangladesh. India’s record against Australia has not been good. In 38 T20 matches between the two teams, India has secured only 9 wins. Moreover, Australia has had the upper hand in the T20 World Cup as well. In the 7 matches played between the two teams, Australia has won 5, and India has won only 2. India will reach the semi-finals if… What is the equation for Australia? After defeating Pakistan, Australia has almost secured its place in the semi-finals. The team has won all four matches played so far and is at the top of Group-A with 8 points. Its net run rate is also the best (+4.724). Australia is scheduled to play its last league stage match against India on June 28. Australia will reach the semi-finals if… What is South Africa’s path like? South Africa has 2 wins and 4 points from 3 matches. The team defeated Pakistan and India, but due to a big 65-run loss to Australia, its net run rate is -0.546. Now it has to play its last two matches against Netherlands (June 25) and Bangladesh (June 28). South Africa will reach the semi-finals if… Bangladesh also has a chance Bangladesh has to play against India and South Africa. The team has secured 2 wins in 3 matches so far and has 4 points. For the semi-finals, Bangladesh will have to win both remaining matches. If the team defeats both India and South Africa, they will have 8 points and reaching the semi-finals will be almost certain. The matches against India and South Africa can determine the fate not only for Bangladesh but for the entire Group-A. If Bangladesh defeats even one of these teams, the race for the semi-finals will become even more interesting. Bangladesh will reach the semi-finals if… England is the strongest contender in Group-B England has won all three of its matches so far. The team has 6 points from 3 matches. However, England’s path in Group B is not entirely easy yet. They have to play their last two matches against West Indies and New Zealand. If England defeats West Indies, they will have 8 points and secure a semi-final spot. The last match against New Zealand could determine the top-2 ranking of the group. England will reach the semi-finals if… West Indies needs just one win West Indies has also won all three matches. The team has 6 points from 3 matches. Now West Indies faces two big matches. The team will face England on June 24 and Ireland on June 27. Among these, the match against Ireland is considered easy, but the match against England could change the picture of Group B. If West Indies defeats England, they will have 8 points, and their semi-final spot will be confirmed. With a win over Ireland, the team can reach 10 points. On the other hand, even if they lose to England, West Indies will have a chance to reach 8 points by registering a win against Ireland. West Indies will reach the semi-finals if… New Zealand-Sri Lanka’s hopes alive, but dependent on others New Zealand and Sri Lanka’s semi-final hopes are still alive, but now both teams will have to depend on their performance as well as the results of other matches. New Zealand defeated Scotland to secure 4 points from 4 matches, and their last match is against England on June 27. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka defeated Ireland by 9 wickets to secure 4 points from 4 matches. The team’s last match is against Scotland on June 26. Both teams can reach a maximum of 6 points. In such a scenario, the most crucial match for them will be the England vs. West Indies match on June 24. If the losing team in this match also loses their next fixture, then the path to the semi-finals will remain open for New Zealand and Sri Lanka. Then the second semi-finalist could be decided by net run rate among teams with 6 points each.