Strong weather system active in eastern Madhya Pradesh:Alert in 12 districts as up to 4.5 inches rain likely in 24 hours; temperature drops in Bhopal, Indore-Ujjain

A strong weather system has developed over eastern Madhya Pradesh, prompting a heavy rain alert in 12 districts. A depression over the Arabian Sea, a deep depression over the Bay of Bengal, and a cyclonic circulation over the northern region are jointly influencing the state’s weather. As a result, several parts of Madhya Pradesh witnessed rain on Wednesday. Bhopal, Indore, and Ujjain experienced gusty winds, leading to a noticeable drop in day temperatures. Ujjain’s maximum temperature fell to 23°C, the lowest among major cities. Heavy Rain Forecast in 12 Eastern and Southern Districts The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast that the weather system will remain active on Thursday, especially over eastern and southern MP.
The following 12 districts may receive 2.5 to 4.5 inches of rainfall within 24 hours:
Satna, Rewa, Mauganj, Sidhi, Singrauli, Maihar, Umaria, Shahdol, Anuppur, Dindori, Mandla, and Balaghat. Meanwhile, Khandwa, Burhanpur, Harda, Narmadapuram, Betul, Narsinghpur, Chhindwara, Pandhurna, Seoni, Jabalpur, Katni, and Panna are likely to experience light rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds. Winds in Bhopal, Indore, and Ujjain are also expected to blow at higher-than-normal speeds, further lowering day temperatures. Impact of Cyclone ‘Montha’ Adds to Chill In addition to the depression systems, the impact of Cyclone ‘Montha’ is being felt across Madhya Pradesh. The storm has increased wind speeds in many cities, which has led to a dip in temperatures and an early onset of winter-like chill. On Wednesday, 20 cities recorded day temperatures below 26°C. Other notable readings included: Betul (26.5°C), Datia-Guna (25.6°C), Dhar (24.9°C), Pachmarhi (24°C), Raisen (27.4°C), Ratlam (24.6°C), Sheopur (24.4°C), and Shivpuri (24°C). Eastern regions — including Chhindwara, Damoh, Khajuraho, Mandla, Narsinghpur, Naugaon, Rewa, Sagar, Satna, Sidhi, Tikamgarh, Umaria, and Balaghat — also recorded maximum temperatures below 28°C.
Night temperatures have also dropped significantly across the state. Rain to continue till November 2 Although the monsoon has officially withdrawn from Madhya Pradesh, rain activity continues due to these post-monsoon systems.
According to IMD forecasts, rain will persist till November 2, with October 30 expected to be the most active day. Severe winter expected from November to February Weather experts predict that cold weather will intensify from November, lasting through January, and possibly extending into February this year. The upcoming winter could be one of the harshest since 2010, with below-normal temperatures and above-average rainfall expected throughout the state. Monsoon departs after a ‘Happy Ending’ The Southwest Monsoon has completely withdrawn from Madhya Pradesh. This year, it remained active for 3 months and 28 days — entering the state on June 16 and retreating on October 13. According to the Meteorological Department, this year’s monsoon was a “happy ending” for Madhya Pradesh. The department had predicted 106% of average rainfall, but the state received 15% more than expected. Indore, Gwalior, Chambal, Jabalpur, Rewa, Shahdol, and Sagar divisions met or exceeded their rainfall quotas.
However, Ujjain, Shajapur, Betul, and Sehore recorded slightly less — between 81% and 98% of the average. Still, Ujjain, Sehore, and Betul hovered around 94%, placing them in the “near normal” category, while Shajapur remained under the “deficit rainfall” category. City-wise October weather trends Bhopal: Record 38°C in 2012 Bhopal’s average maximum temperature for October is 32.7°C, while the minimum averages 19.1°C.
Over the past decade, the daytime temperature has often exceeded 33°C.
In 2015, it reached 37.3°C, and the all-time October high was 38°C in 2012.
The lowest recorded October minimum was 11.7°C on October 12, 2012. Bhopal also has a history of heavy October rain — in 1955, it recorded 7.5 inches for the month, and 5 inches fell within 24 hours on October 6, 2009, setting a record. Indore: Coldest October night at 6.2°C in 1999 Indore experiences all three seasons during October — lingering heat, brief showers, and early cold.
Between 2015 and 2024, day temperatures have touched 35–36°C on multiple occasions, while night temperatures ranged from 14–16°C. Rain is also common in October — in 2013, the city received 4 inches, and 1 inch last year.
The highest-ever October temperature was 37.8°C on October 22, 2000, and the coldest night was 6.2°C on October 22, 1999 — still the city’s coldest on record. In 1985, Indore saw over 9 inches of rain during October, with 6.19 inches falling in a single day on October 9 — the highest 24-hour total ever. Gwalior: Day temperature touches 39°C Gwalior remains hot during October days.
In 2015, the maximum temperature reached 39°C, and over the past decade, it has typically ranged between 35°C and 39°C.
The city’s highest-ever October temperature was 40.1°C on October 27, 1994, while the lowest was 8.9°C on October 31, 1952. The city also sees occasional rain — 2013 and 2022 both saw 4+ inches, and 1956 holds the record for 8.68 inches in a month.
The heaviest 24-hour rainfall occurred on October 13, 1955, when 6 inches of rain fell. Jabalpur: Coldest October night 73 years ago In Jabalpur, the average maximum temperature in October is 31.8°C, and the average minimum is 20.3°C.
In the past decade, however, both day and night temperatures have often been higher.
The highest October reading was 37.9°C on October 5, 1966, while the lowest was 10.5°C on October 30, 1952 — 73 years ago. The wettest October on record was 1916, with 10.46 inches of rain.
The city’s heaviest 24-hour rainfall occurred on October 4, 1977, with 5 inches. Ujjain: Three dry Octobers in a decade In Ujjain, 3 out of the past 10 Octobers saw no rainfall.
The wettest October was in 2009, when 4.46 inches fell during the month — including 3.62 inches on October 5 in a single day. The city’s highest-ever October temperature was 39°C on October 5, 2002, and the lowest was 8.1°C on October 29, 1983.